Sunday, November 2, 2008

NIFTY VS PE MUST READ


Oversold zone

Nifty PE is in oversold zone when it reaches below 12.5. How ?
See on chart. It touched below 12.5 for 5 times in 10 years History since 1999.

1 Instance Nifty was 930 points in Jan 1999 when Nifty was below 12.5. From there Nifty rose to 1760 points which is almost 100% return in 1 year.

2 Instance Nifty was 860 points in sep 2001 when Nifty PE was again below 12.5. From there Nifty rose to 1220 in 6 months. Which is again 50% return in 6 months.

3 Instance Apr 2003, Nifty 880, Nifty PE <> 25, Nifty fell 54% from 1760 to 860 Points in 19 Months. Huge fall.

2 Instance Jan 2008, Nifty 6300, Nifty PE > 25, Nifty fell 64 % from 6300 to 2250 points in 10 months. Huge fall in less time.

Also do not forget that 2000 and 2008 years were also End of 8 year cycle of Markets.

So People, Analysis of few hours in a week or Month can also get you answers for the most important questions in Market :- what next and when ?

“Never overlook anything in your life, B’cos Gud times will give happiness and Bad times will give Experience. You need both to be different than world.”