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Sunday, November 23, 2008

FIIS Selling pattern

Weekend,Its raining here in Bangalore had nothing constructive to do,Thought let me ramble with FII selling we witnessed this year(2008) till now.In 2008 top three months of wealth destruction till now areJanuaryJuneOctoberOctober being the darkest month of the year till now.
January (OHLC)=6138,6356,4450,5171 A loss of 15%
June (OHLC)=4870,4906,4022,4025 A loss of 17%
October (OHLC)=3921,4000,2253,2905 A loss of 27%
Lets compare the FII selling in these 3 months
January FII sold=-17,226.90 (cr)
June FII sold =-10,577.70 (cr)
October FII sold=-14,248.60 (cr)



Now run your eye through the attached chart of nifty.It clearly shows though the fall was steep traders/Investors were quite eager to buybecause by the time month ended more than half of fall was retraced (Traders were hopeful)Come to June its calm compare to January but absolutely no retrace and the month endedquite near to the monthly low.(Traders sold too not hopeful of rise) One thing to look forthough this being the lowest out of the three months comparing FII selling .Still it managed to shave off 17% off Nifty.The October comes darkest of the three "mayhem" Bear salsa world over FII sold lesser thancompared to January but we witnessed Nifty being lighter by 27% .Distress sale,Panic sale etc etc and what not.Long term investors sold there blue chips.Sentiments negative to the core no one wanted to talk about stocks etc etc.Then suddenly from no where we witnessed sharp and swift rally in October itselfFrom a low of 2250 to 2900 that's 650 points in a week, Of course on low volumes:)Retail was quite scared to buy.
Data source :-Moneycontrol